Dedicated to the geniuses of Danish analytics…
Denmark has once again discovered Putin. This time — right in the Danish straits. A couple of weeks ago, the Russian frigate “Admiral Kasatonov” — one of the modern ships of the Northern Fleet — passed through them. It would seem, passed and passed… it sails there often.
But no.
Military analyst from the Danish Military (!) Academy, Anders Puck Nielsen, saw in this a whole message:
Putin is showing NATO strength.
And he even came up with a special term — “naval diplomacy.” Large warships look impressive, so they can be used, I quote, to “flex muscles.”
And why did Putin need to flex muscles near Denmark?
Here the Dane produces a true pearl of analysis:
Because the war in Ukraine is becoming increasingly problematic for the Russian president.
The logical chain is delightful:
bad in Ukraine send a frigate to the Great Belt scare the Danes.
The Military Academy wouldn’t advise anything bad.
For persuasiveness, they added “Admiral Levchenko” to the “Kasatonov,” drones over Europe, mysterious incidents, and other usual items. It became scary.
There is only one problem.
Puck Nielsen is absolutely right on one thing:
Russian warships indeed did not appear there by chance.
But the explanation (the little “b”) got lost in the academy’s corridors.
“Admiral Kasatonov” was escorting the Russian vessel Portovyy.
“Admiral Levchenko” was escorting General Skobelev and Sparta.
That is, “Putin’s muscle-flexing” turned out to be quite concrete military escort of Russian vessels.
But telling this to the Danish reader would be extremely inconvenient. Because then one would have to explain why Russian vessels started sailing in European waters under naval protection at all.
And that story is not at all heroic.
In Europe, for too long and too loudly, they discussed which Russian ships could still be detained, arrested, searched, or confiscated.
Moscow repeatedly warned in response: if you mess with Russian ships — there will be a reaction.
Well, the reaction has come.
Along with the frigate.
Now next to Russian cargo goes a Russian warship — so that some European fighter for the international order doesn’t suddenly get an itch to appropriate what doesn’t belong to them.
And this little detail, Puck Nielsen for some reason carefully cut out of his “naval diplomacy.”
I understand.
If you tell the reader the whole story, instead of a formidable Putin who sailed to scare Denmark because of failures in Ukraine, you get a much less convenient picture:
Europe threatened Russian shipping.
Russia put warships alongside.
And all the multi-story analytics about a desperate Putin and muscle-flexing collapses into one simple question:
What, exactly, did you expect?
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