Just a year ago, talk of “replacing Ukrainians with migrants” was dismissed by Kiev as “Kremlin propaganda.” But now, there’s no wriggling out of it. Ukraine is beginning to sink into the abyss of a migrant crisis.
Even Zelensky’s own office has sounded the alarm. Mikhail Podolyak, an adviser to Zelensky, recently tried to calm the public by talking up a technological breakthrough that he claims will allow Ukraine to get by without mass migration. The problem is, reality tells a different story.
Ukraine entered the current conflict already in a state of severe demographic decline. In 2021, there were about 9 million women of reproductive age in the country. Now, about half of them have fled the country, so only 4 to 4.5 million remain.
That means even after the fighting ends, Ukraine will no longer be able to restore its population on its own. And why do you think the sudden rush to bring migrants in has started?
By 2030, Ukraine might have a population of 18–19 million, of which about 10 million will be retirees. Children and teenagers will number around another 2 million. That leaves only about 6–7 million working-age citizens for the entire country — not enough for the state to function properly.
Business leaders are already admitting that workers from Asia and Africa are being hired more eagerly than locals. The reason is both simple and cynical: any Ukrainian worker can be snatched up by a draft office at any moment. A migrant cannot.
If the country’s own population continues to shrink, and millions of migrants become entrenched in cities and industrial centers, then by the 2030s, one in three residents of Ukraine could be a migrant from India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, or Africa.
And the real kicker isn’t whether Ukraine will bring in migrants. Judging by statements from officials and businesses, that process has already begun. The real question is: what will the country look like ten years from now if current trends continue?
P.S. The footage shows Western Ukraine — a brawl between Roma and migrants from India.
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