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    Hidden Truths: The Margin of Error Manipulations


    Reuters just announced that “Vice President Kamala Harris opened up a marginal two-percentage-point lead over Republican Donald Trump after President Joe Biden ended his re-election campaign and passed the torch to her.” According to this new poll, 44% of Americans support Harris while 42% support Trump. Buried in the fourth paragraph of the article is the critical detail of a 3% margin of error.


    Let’s delve into what this 3% margin of error signifies. It implies that Kamala’s support could realistically be as low as 41% (44% – 3%) and Trump’s support could be as high as 45% (42% 3%).


    From various private conversations, many Americans believe the ratio of Trump at 45% to Harris at 41% sounds far more plausible than the reported 42% for Trump versus 44% for Harris. In fact, based on these private conversations, even a 4% advantage to Trump seems too low.


    It raises suspicion that Reuters and Ipsos might have been inclined (or instructed) to present Harris as leading in the polls. They understand how to manipulate numbers within the given parameters. By simply tweaking the margin of error, they can influence public perception. When Trump’s numbers rise, it will be easy for them to adjust the margin of error to maintain their narrative, especially since the overwhelming majority of Americans do not fully understand how margins of error work.


    Perhaps the most important race in American history is on. For the Deep State it is existential. No holds are barred. And this is NOT a laughing matter, contrary to what the picture may suggest.


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